☞  Cohort begins July 20Applications open · Early deadline Jun 10 · Final Jun 24$100K + SAFE · 12 weeks · Berkeley
A Software IncubatorFor Massive Public GoodIn the Age of Transformative AI

SURPLUS

☞  An incubator for software startups3 months · starting late JulyOrganized by Manifund & Lightcone

Surplus” is the value created through positive-sum trades; what markets produce in abundance.Build it here.

—  On the matter of building good things, plainly stated  —
§ WhoFounders who care about xrisk and flourishing futures.§ WhereSix weeks at Lighthaven, six weeks at Mox.§ What it costsA SAFE. Not your soul.

Surplus is an incubator for software startups, organized by Manifund and Lightcone. We are looking for founders building tools for public goodin the age of transformative AI — people who would rather start something than join something, who have an idea they can’t stop thinking about, who move fast and ship taste.

We think now is an excellent time to start a for-profit. Vast torrents of philanthropic funding sit downstream of Anthropic employees and the OpenAI Foundation; 501c3s can buy services from, and invest in, for-profit corporations. There is a $100B market waiting to be constructed — shovels waiting to be sold.

Building great software takes more than coding. Product taste, visual design, distribution, sales and marketing are all things that 2026 LLMs still fail at. We have developed these supplementary skills, and would love to foster them in a new generation of founders — while incubating projects that produce massive good for the world.

§ Run byManifund & Lightcone Infrastructure.§ Office hoursWeekly, with Austin Chen & Oliver Habryka.§ SpeakersAndreas Stuhlmueller, Geoff Ralston, David Holz, Emmett Shear.
01

Projects We’re Excited For

Three categories
— not exhaustive —

We’re open to many proposals, but here are three categoriesof projects we’re particularly well-suited to incubate. If your idea is adjacent — apply anyway.

☞ ☞ ☞
01

AI for Epistemics & Coordination

LLM-powered tools that help people think better, work together, and build common knowledge.

— Examples —
02

Public-Facing Websites

Many concepts in AI safety could be translated for a wider audience, with thoughtful design and an eye for virality.

— Examples —
  • Microsites like AI 2027, showcasing concepts through narrative & interactive design
  • Visualizations like Epoch and Our World in Data
  • Transparency for what’s happening inside labs, and across the AI supply chain
  • Courses like Bluedot, helping people upskill into relevant domains
  • Games like Universal Paperclips, teaching concepts (eg orthogonality) through play
  • Demos like Nicky Case’s, or of topics from recent alignment research papers
03

Infra for the EA & Safety Community

Marketplaces or platforms, addressing common problems shared by people and orgs working to reduce xrisk.

— Examples —
02

What We Offer

Capital · Community
Office hours · Demo Day
No. 01 — Capital
$100K
in investment, as a SAFE
at a $2M post-money cap.
No. 02 — Cohort
A cohort of founders who care about xrisk and flourishing futures.
Work alongside them — not above, not below.
No. 03 — Office Hours
Weekly office hours with Austin Chen & Oliver Habryka.
Bring real questions. Leave with real answers.
No. 04 — Place
Space to work at Mox & Lighthaven.
  • Berkeley · Six weeks each
  • Dinners, hallway run-ins, late nights
No. 05 — Demo Day
Demo Day with aligned VCs & philanthropic funders.
September 18 — closing the cohort.
No. 06 — Speakers
 Andreas Stuhlmueller · Geoff Ralston · David Holz · Emmett Shear · and more to announce.
Weekly · In person
03

Timeline

May → September 2025
Twelve weeks of programming
May 29Program Announced — Applications OpenSubmit via Airtable
Jun 5–7 · LessOnline at Lighthaven
Jun 10Early Applications DueReviewed on a rolling basis
Jun 12–14 · Manifest at Lighthaven
Jun 24All Applications DueFinal deadline
Jul 20
Program Kickoff
  • 12 weeks of programming
  • Weekly speakers, workshops, office hours, dinners
  • Maybe: 2 weeks of iterating, cofounder matching up front
  • Maybe: 6 weeks at Lighthaven, 6 weeks at Mox
Cohort begins
Sep 18Demo DayVCs & Philanthropic Funders
04

Frequently Asked

Four questions
answered plainly
Q1

Why does Surplus encourage for-profit corps?

First, there are many standard reasons to use a for-profit corporation when trying to do good. For-profits operate with tight feedback loops. They can be more certain that they produce value (see: gains from trade, Paul Graham on wealth, “surplus”). They can tap into a much larger pool of available financing. They can compensate founders and early employees with financial upside, should the venture work out well.

For-profit models are surprisingly flexible: Elicit, Apollo, Goodfire, Wave, Dwarkesh, Lighthaven and Manifest all demonstrate different approaches to making money while also serving the public interest.

Now is an excellent time to start a for-profit, given vast torrents of funding available from Anthropic employees and OpenAI Foundation. These funds are distributed out of 501c3 entities — but 501c3s can pay for for-profit services, and invest in for-profit corps. There’s a $100B market waiting to be constructed; shovels waiting to be sold.

And ideologically, we think that equity is a beautiful mechanism for value alignment and credit allocation. Manifund has previously experimented with impact certificates to bring this concept to the charity world; now, we think that plain ol’ corporate equity will work fine, maybe with a light sprinkling of retroactive funding or prize rounds or advance market commitments to finance public goods.

Q2

Why start a startup, rather than join a lab or an AI safety org?

It is absolutely the case that Anthropic or METR are great places to work. But maybe:

— You’re well suited towards starting projects: you enjoy independence, have high risk tolerance, and moving fast.

— You’re worried about the balance of power, as labs accumulate more talent and funding.

— You have an idea that you can’t stop thinking about, a pain point you have to solve, something nobody else is doing that you think will have a big impact.

Q3

Why should I join an incubator, when vibecoding is so easy?

Building great software takes more than coding. Product taste, visual design, distribution, sales and marketing are all things that 2026 LLMs still fail at. (Not to mention long-term coherence and maintainability within a codebase.)

We’ve developed these supplementary skills needed to ship successful products, and would love to foster them in a new generation of founders.

Q4

What kind of outcomes is Surplus hoping for?

First and foremost, we’re hoping to incubate projects that produce massive good for the world.

Of course, we’d be happy if our investments turn out profitable, helping us invest in more great projects.

Finally, Manifund, Lightcone, and many others would be excited to hire founder-shaped folks; even if your specific project doesn’t succeed, your time at Surplus will be a fantastic work test.

CODE FOR MASSIVE
PUBLIC GOOD.

Build the thing you can’t stop thinking about. We’ll give you the capital, the cohort, the kitchen, and ninety days of company.

Apply by June 24